Nemo:
Re: “Because they create them!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IMHO This test took the same mysterious left turn just like sandy. They called THAT left turn 3 days in advance. HOW IN THE **** could they know that??????????? hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm”
You're just a tad on the paranoid side, aren't you?
I've often said that conspiracies are real... but they're exceedingly rare. If you're seeing a lot of them, it's time to re-evaluate.
As should now be clear, Florence is *NOT* a category 4 hurricane. It will probably hit well away from where the weather people were predicting and as a MUCH weaker storm... probably a mid-grade category 2 with winds of 100 mph. Yesterday, they were predicting that it would stall just off the coast and then head south. Disaster!! But now it's looking like it won't stall at all and will head south after it has already made landfall and is rapidly weakening.
So the weather people who were predicting doom-and-gloom earlier this week blew it pretty bad. If FEMA controlled the weather and was going to enact the test they ran a few months ago then they totally failed.
It's clear that FEMA ran a monster-hurricane scenario since they try to prepare for "the worst." A 155 mph hurricane that approaches Florida's coastline and then turns north, paralleling the coast of the United States without coming ashore, then eventually making landfall near NYC would be about the worst realistic natural catastrophe that the country could anticipate anytime soon. "Hurricane" Sandy was almost that sort of a storm (but not as powerful), so FEMA decided to test their preparedness with something similar but more extreme.
And that's that. Florence had a lot of hype this week AS EVERY HURRICANE DOES and might still turn out to be catastrophic depending on where it comes ashore, but history will show that it is not what FEMA just simulated. Not at all. It's not a category 4. Not even a category 3. And it's not on the test hurricane's track.
BTW, weather scientists don't "know" that a hurricane is going to turn left or right ahead of time. But they can see where high pressure air masses are. If one exists a bit ahead of a hurricane, it will usually cause the hurricane to slow down and turn one direction or the other. In this case, a high pressure mass is ahead and to the north of Florence's trajectory. It will cause the storm to turn to the south.
Hurricane course predictions aren't very good, but Florence's southerly turn is obvious.
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