Counting the white working class. A Dem problem or a polling problem?
http://hotair.com/archives/2017/11/07/counting-white-working-class-dem-problem-polling-problem/
While we wait for the voting to finish in Virginia there are plenty of pundits staring obsessively at the final polling out of the commonwealth. Depending who you ask, it looks like it's going to be close, with most likely a less than five-point margin for the winner. Many of the polls are showing Ralph Northam with a thin lead, somewhere in the range of the margin of error. So why am I seeing people predicting that Gillespie will pull it out at the last minute? It's still all about 2016, people.
Personally, I have calculated that Gillespie will win by three points using a highly scientific survey of how many pigeons were perched on the phone lines outside my house after breakfast. This is a tried and true method, but others prefer a tedious process involving asking large numbers of poll respondents what they think and extrapolating from there. But should we have faith in those numbers? ...
The essential American soul is hard, isolate, stoic, and a killer. It has never yet melted. ~ D.H. Lawrence
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