As we reported over the weekend, it was another bad quarter - and bad year - for David Einhorn's Greenlight, who in his latest just released letter to investors writes that he had "another difficult quarter and lost an additional (9.1)%, bringing the Greenlight Capital funds’ (the “Partnerships”) year-to-date loss to (25.7)%."
And while the letter lists the fund's various recent stock dispositions, including the sale of its last Apple shares, the exit of its multi-year long in Mylan, liquidating its stakes in Micron and Twitter, covering its 11 year old short in Martin Marietta, an amusing analysis on profitless companies...
The current market view is that profitless companies with 20-30% top-line growth are worth 12x-15x revenues, while profitable companies that lack that level of opportunity are worth only 5x-8x after tax earnings. As an arithmetic exercise, if you pay 12x revenues for a company that eventually makes a 10% after tax margin and trades at a 20x P/E, the company has to sustain a 25% growth rate for 8 years for you to break even, and for 12 years for you to make an 8% IRR (requiring 15x revenue growth). If the company is increasing the share count by paying employees in stock, the math gets worse.
... and so on (see full letter below for full details), what was most remarkable in Einhorn's latest letter was his aggressive, all-out attack on Elon Musk, and Tesla, which he minces no words and compares to Lehman Brothers.
We present the full excerpt below:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-05/deception-about-catch-david-einhorn-unleashes-elon-musk-compares-tesla-lehman?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29
Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.
| 