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Re: Covid-19 Update

By: Decomposed in 6TH POPE | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 12 Jun 20 2:23 AM | 40 view(s)
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Msg. 01836 of 60008
(This msg. is a reply to 01833 by Zimbler0)

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Zimbler0:

Re: "Except . . . That"
The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) differs from the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) in that CFR is based on the number of identified cases and the number of identified fatalities. You can debate those numbers but they are official and probably won't change.

The CFR doesn't pretend to know how many actual cases there might be. That would be the IFR. The IFR, though, is anybody's guess since the number of infected people is also a guess - except in a subsystem like the Diamond Princess or the Life Care Center of Kirkland, Washington in which case it is the same as the CFR. Across the world, the IFR will never be known.

But the CFR will and it's worth discussing, particularly when there's an interest in comparing COVID-19 to other diseases (that also have unknown IFRs.)









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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Covid-19 Update
By: Zimbler0
in 6TH POPE
Fri, 12 Jun 20 1:48 AM
Msg. 01833 of 60008

Except . . .
That we know the Chinese are under-reporting their
sickness and deaths . . . And that many places in
the United States are over-reporting deaths.

Add in the (probably) legions of folks who got it
but never showed any symptoms . . .

Bottom line I don't believe any numbers anybody
is putting out.

What really sucks is that so many people can tell
so many lies and nobody gets punished for it.

Zim.


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