And remember ... this is the libtards' most beloved pollster, Nate Silver. BWHA HA HA HA HA HA!!!
http://twitchy.com/gregp-3534/2021/07/30/seems-like-quite-a-stretch-nate-silver-breaks-down-the-cdc-data-from-provincetown-ma-thats-being-used-to-justify-the-new-mask-guidance/
The CDC finally released some of the data behind its new mask guidance and as many suspected, it’s a study based on a cluster of infections that happened in Provincetown, Mass. during July.
First up, the study “includes several major caveats, most of which are almost completely missing from the hyperbolic news coverage around this”:
Nate Silver ~ Here, finally, is the Provincetown study, which includes several major caveats, most of which are almost completely missing from the hyperbolic news coverage around this.
http://cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7031e2.htm?s_cid=mm7031e2_w
And for some reason, the authors left out this tiny detail:
Nate Silver ~ There is also one major caveat that the study authors don't mention: they are only looking at *people who chose to be tested*, which is a lot different than *all breakthrough infections*. Presumably people with symptoms are much more likely to be tested.
{Cont.} *Symptomatic* breakthrough infections having similar viral loads to *symptomatic* unvaccinated infections would be much less of a problem, both because symptomatic breakthroughs are rare and because people can learn to be more careful (and get tested) when they have symptoms.
{Cont.} Finally I'd note that the sample sizes here are tiny, leading to very wide confidence intervals. And the "real life" confidence intervals are likely even wider given that (as the study authors say) the sample isn't very diverse. (P-town = mostly affluent middle-aged gay men.)
Nate Silver ~ To take a self-selected, not-statistically-significant sample of ~200 nondiverse people during a party weekend that was an outlier in many respects, and use it to conclude that breakthrough infections are just as likely to transmit the virus, seems like quite the stretch.
Oof.
The essential American soul is hard, isolate, stoic, and a killer. It has never yet melted. ~ D.H. Lawrence
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