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Re: Hurricane Ida down in the Gulf of Mexico

By: Decomposed in 6TH POPE | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 29 Aug 21 2:10 PM | 34 view(s)
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Msg. 22818 of 60008
(This msg. is a reply to 22812 by Decomposed)

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At 7:00 a.m. EST, Ida has 150 mph sustained wind gusts. Just 7 mph more and it will be a category 5 storm. 155 mph is predicted - at the time of landfall, I assume.

Grand Isle, LA is in the storm's sights.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Hurricane Ida down in the Gulf of Mexico
By: Decomposed
in 6TH POPE
Sun, 29 Aug 21 11:19 AM
Msg. 22812 of 60008

Re: “At 1 a.m. CDT it had maximum sustained winds of 115 mph - a weak category 3. Winds have to hit 131 mph for it to be a category 4.”At 4 a.m. CDT, just 3 hours later, Ida has sustained winds of 140 mph. Wow. To have gone from 115 to 140 in 3 hours, the storm must have passed over some seriously hot water!! The good news is that as quickly as it spun up, the storm can wind down again. That will depend on water temps it crosses between now and early afternoon.

The folks who will have it the hardest will be those just to the east of landfall. That's where the storm surge will be the highest. Ida won't be another Katrina unless it changes course and hits New Orleans directly. Because of the angle of approach, it won't send the kind of sea wall into Lake Pontchartrain that Katrina did.

The image below compares the tracks of the two storms. Katrina is in yellow and Ida is white. Ida looks like it will be the bigger storm when it strikes. If, as the graphic suggests, it really makes landfall at 1 p.m., it will be doing so at high tide. A later landfall would be better. Earlier, worse. Right now, they're expecting a 10-15 foot storm surge which would match Katrina. That's bad... It's also bad that the storm is currently stronger than was predicted a short while ago when this image was captured. Ida has the potential to hit as a cat 5...








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