A left-leaning pollster is showing Rep. Ted Budd (R-NC) leading former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley (D) in the race to fill retiring Sen. Richard Burr’s (R-NC) seat.
With less than 60 days to go until the North Carolina U.S. Senate race, 49 percent of likely voters would cast a ballot for Budd and 46 percent support Beasley, an East Carolina University (ECU) poll found. Just four percent of respondents report being “undecided.” ECU has B/C credibility rating on FiveThirtyEight and has called 64 percent of 11 races correctly. The pollster also categorically overestimates support for Democrat candidates.
ECU notes that the race has “narrowed significantly” since it conducted a poll in May when Budd led by 8 percentage points, although that poll was conducted with registered voters instead of likely voters. The results are within the survey’s ± 3.6 percent Credibility Interval (CI). ECU conducted the survey between September 7-10 with 1,020 likely voters in North Carolina.
Beasley has gained the most support from women since ECU last polled North Carolinians.
“Beasley currently leads Budd 52 percent to 41 percent among likely female voters. (She previously trailed Budd, 44 percent to 40 percent among registered female voters in May.) Budd, however, holds a significant advantage among men. In the latest poll, Budd leads 58 percent to 39 percent among likely male voters,” the survey report states.
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