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Re: UK tax cuts

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 26 Sep 22 9:04 AM | 24 view(s)
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Msg. 47245 of 54832
(This msg. is a reply to 47234 by Cactus Flower)

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I should make sure to distinguish supply side economics as a whole, from the Laffer curve, which is a type of supply side theory. The Laffer curve suggests that as tax rates are lowered, government revenue will increase through economic growth, and that this will compensate for the lost revenue from the reduced rates.

The Laffer curve probably works in a society with very high rates of tax, in which people are actively demotivated by the amount of tax they pay. There's no evidence that it works at other rates.

Nor is the trickle down effect a meaningful concept.

As I've said for a long time, the place on the tax curve that I believe a government might usefully support is the part that leads to dynamic entrepreneurial activity. For me, it's shopkeepers, people with a particular expertise, kids working in garages, these sorts of people that are the furnace of wealth. So you build an environment which supports them.

Wealthy financiers are not the engine of innovation. They are one means of support for it but by no means the only one. Personally, I like it when a government defines programmes that target and help finance the people taking the risks themselves, not giving breaks to wealthy people who are apt to figure out ways to avoid paying much tax anyway.

Indeed, I suspect there's little point in giving tax cuts to the wealthiest people for the purposes of innovation anyway. They have no need to take a risk. And they tend to avoid investing at the earliest and riskiest stage of an idea. It's that stage that needs support, in my view.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: UK tax cuts
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Sun, 25 Sep 22 10:37 AM
Msg. 47234 of 54832

But the tax cuts are very likely to cause a large deficit, and the idea that they will cause a much higher growth rate in the economy is magical thinking.

I had thought supply side economics (the Laffer Curve theory that government revenue will increase to compensate for lower tax rates) was an experiment that had failed enough times (except when tax rates are very high) that no one believed in it any more. But now we have a UK government trying it again.

For myself, I hope the UK economy will grow faster in time, but due to escaping the EU's protectionism and because renewable energy gradually reduces costs.

At least we perform this new experiment with a relatively low level of debt.


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