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Covid Seasonality 

By: Decomposed in 6TH POPE | Recommend this post (1)
Tue, 06 Dec 22 2:37 PM | 35 view(s)
Boardmark this board | 6th Edition Pope Board 		Msg. 37958 of 58680
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Looking at a chart of pandemic 'new cases,' there are five distinct peaks. The two larger ones came on almost the same date in their respective years: January 13th and January 14th. The three lesser peaks all came in mid- to late- summer: July 22nd, September 2nd and July 24th.

One conclusion I might draw is that there does seem to a seasonal pattern to the surges: mid-January and mid-Summer. Another is that if another surge is coming, it may well be around January 13th.

Changing the subject a bit, my wife and I didn't see any doctors or otherwise report when we caught Covid. If the year had been 2020, perhaps we would have. But in late 2022, the fear just isn't there.

I doubt we're alone and figure that there are probably far more occurrences today than the chart shows.

The authorities probably have a pretty good handle on the number of Covid deaths, though. After all, everyone who's going to die sees a doctor first or a coroner after, right?

Putting those two things together, along with the fact that few people are dying of Covid-19 now (less than 10% as many as at the pandemic's peak), I'd say that the mortality rate is very low. Probably not as bad as for influenza.

January's charts might be interesting.





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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months


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