Decomposed > I might agree with Scenario 'C' except that it would have to start with 'Putin is assassinated.' That would have to happen before 'C' could.
Regarding scenario 'B,' I haven't the slightest doubt that 'the guys' would 'throw the bombs.' They're trained to follow orders, not to think for themselves. Same as our 'our guys.'
There should be a scenario 'D': Putin, with his back to the wall, decides that he has no choice but to use nukes.
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Scenario C: I find to be the most likely. The Russians have lost ground in Ukraine. Their attacks have been failing. Russia has tried to conscript some 300,000 guys, failed to get all of them, then simply jammed poorly trained 'soldiers' into combat and the Ukrainians have, all too often, hammered them before they even get to the front lines. The Ukrainians have, in fact, been taking ground back from the Russians. Putin does not have to die for the Ukrainians to drive the Russians out.
I find Scenario A to be almost as likely as Scenario C.
As for Scenario D. If Ukraine was to march on Moscow, then Scenario D would come into play.
And, didn't we have an American General who once promised he would not let Trump nuke anybody? Maybe this is just wishful thinking, but I would hope that at least one of the Russian generals between Putin and the nuclear missiles would be smart enough to decide that nuking 'anybody' would be a bad idea.
Zim.
Mad Poet Strikes Again.
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