Leaked Audio From a Ron DeSantis Donor Event Is Really Bad News for His Campaign
MEATBALL MATH
Team DeSantis tried to hype poll numbers to deep-pocketed supporters. But the data actually points to a Trump primary victory.
When Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis gathered top allies with deep pockets last week in Miami for a three-day “Ron-o-Rama” retreat, his team made the case for a path to victory. But there’s a major problem with the Team DeSantis logic: Its case for DeSantis’ path to victory actually worked better for his chief rival, former President Donald Trump.
The rationale hinges on myriad assumptions, and even those are shaky.
Leaked audio and slides obtained by Florida Politics show contradicting claims, spun in a way meant to make it sound like DeSantis has not just a shot, but a good one.
However, the information presented raises more questions than it answers.
The data used showed both DeSantis and Trump virtually tied. It’s the job of campaign staffers to find silver linings in anything, and deploying a “rah-rah, we’re just as popular as Trump” mantra is a prime example. But anyone who knows anything about politics—or who even has a shred of logic—can look at the broader data and see that this is actually bad news for DeSantis.
Most polls have DeSantis trailing Trump by double digits, with the Real Clear Politics average showing Trump up by 22 percentage points in Iowa, 18 points in New Hampshire and 25 points in South Carolina—all early-voting states that often break candidates before they even really get started.
more:
http://www.thedailybeast.com/leaked-audio-from-ron-desantis-donor-event-is-bad-news-for-campaign?
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