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Who is winning the war in Ukraine? Experts break down the territorial, psychological, and military gains made by Putin and Zelenskyy.
http://www.businessinsider.com/who-is-winning-the-war-in-ukraine-russia-putin-zelenskyy-2023-6?op=1
Jul 24, 2023
It has been more than 16 months since Russia launched a full-scale attack on Ukraine — but who is winning the war?
The answer is certainly not straightforward, according to four experts who spoke to Insider.
It is also heavily dependent on the outcome of Ukraine's counteroffensive and the political situation in Russia, they added. Progress, so far, has been slower than expected, according to some Western officials, although Ukraine has insisted this is deliberate.
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Morale
If you were to judge who is winning the war based on morale, Ukraine would emerge as the victor, according to all four experts.
Ukraine's morale has been high ever since Russia failed to take Kyiv in the first few days of the war, the University of Birmingham's Jaroslava Barbieri, an expert on Russia and post-Soviet states, told Insider.
Ukraine's high morale and stark resistance have forced Russia to make some "huge adjustments" to its military and political leadership, she added.
"There is this sense that Russia is in a weaker position because they appear to be panicking and need to keep adjusting their expectations vis-a-vis the Ukrainian army," Barbieri said.
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One thing that I am certain of is that Russia has lost a LOT of man-power and equipment in this War. A lot more than Ukraine has.
Russia has lost all initiative in this war. Oh, yeah, the Russians can make a 'we gonna lose a lot of men to capture some real-estate' type attacks. . . and then lose it all again when the Ukrainians get around to it.
Russia also has very few 'smart weapons' and are reduced to trying 'terror style' attacks on cities. Russias vaunted 'hypersonic missile' turned out to be vulnerable to Patriot anti-aircraft weaponry.
Ukraine is using 'smarter' weaponry to very good effect - whacking Russian troop concentrations and ammo dumps.
Zim.
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