http://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/05/15/minnesota-poll-numbers-n2174217
By Nick Arama
RedState
9:06 AM on May 15, 2024
I wrote a couple of days ago about the New York Times/Siena poll on the battleground states that even CNN found to be an absolute disaster for Joe Biden, with big leads up in the Sun Belt states.
As CNN's Harry Enten explained when one looked at the electoral numbers if one looked at the map to 270 based on the polls, it was "advantage Donald Trump" and Biden is up a tree without a paddle in terms of his options, he has a very narrow window.
It's even making Joe crazy and in denial about the polls, convincing himself that he's ahead.
But as with everything with Joe Biden, it can always get worse.
Enten had Minnesota accorded to Biden in his calculus. Biden should be able to count on Minnesota, walking away. No Republican has won Minnesota in the presidential election since 1972. Biden took the state according to the official count by 7.2 percent in 2020.
But the latest poll for the state, it has Biden only two points up -- within the margin of error -- and that's with likely voters and other people factored in.
InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) ~
📊 Minnesota GE: KSTP/Survey USA
🟦 Biden 44% [=]
🟥 Trump 42% [=]
🟪 Other 9%
[+/- change vs April]
**********************
• Feb: Biden 42-38%
• April: Biden 44-42%
• May: Biden 44-42%
**********************
538: #14 (2.8/3.0) | 5/8-11 | LVs | ±4.3%
Oh, and on top of that they note the Stormy Daniels lawfare case has had "no discernible impact on the race" and the race is "essentially tied."
RNC Research (@RNCResearch) ~ NEW POLL: Democrats' sham trial against President Trump "has had no discernible impact on the 2024 race in Minnesota" — with President Trump and Biden still "essentially tied" in the state.
Video ~ http://twitter.com/i/status/1790498831676665896
So much for that lawfare.
This, even after Joe Biden has so debased himself with flip-flopping like a fish on the Israel issue and withholding arms in order to appease the left and help his chances in states like Minnesota. It looks like that was for naught. He and his team have to be tearing their hair out at this point, not knowing what to do.
Douglas Murray mocked that perfectly when he was on "Real Time" with Bill Maher on Friday, talking about Biden's strategy on Israel, saying Biden believed in the "two-state solution" -- "Minnesota and Michigan."
raz_sauber (@raz_sauber) ~ Douglas Murray: "Biden believes in the two-state solution: Minnesota and Michigan."
Video ~ http://twitter.com/i/status/1790447016838889922
Murray said Biden was trying to please a few hundred thousand and was going to end up pleasing no one. That sounds right on target. The folks who are flipping out over the issue aren't going to be appeased by his vacillating actions and I doubt if they come out for him.
We'll have to keep an eye out for where those numbers go in Minnesota. But if Biden has to worry about defending Minnesota, you know what deep trouble he's truly in.
Polls are imprecise and there is 6 months until the election, so who knows how this will play out. BUT ... the heartburn and pandemonium that this is causing at The White House right now must be glorious to behold!
The essential American soul is hard, isolate, stoic, and a killer. It has never yet melted. ~ D.H. Lawrence
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