... now? There's not a drop of moisture to be found.
Joe Concha (@JoeConchaTV) ~ Geez. Silver's forecast just released. Has Trump winning every swing state and has his chances 24 points above Harris winning PA.
The Harris campaign now hinges on her ability to speak extemporaneously without a teleprompter during a 90 minute debate.
InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) ~ #Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (chance of winning):
August 23
π¦ Harris: 53.5%
π₯ Trump: 46.1%
September 6
π₯ Trump: 61.5%
π¦ Harris: 38.3%
ββ
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania - π΄ Trump 62-38%
Michigan - π΄ Trump 52-48%
Wisconsin - π΄ Trump 52-48%
Arizona - π΄ Trump 75-25%
North Carolina - π΄ Trump 74-26%
Georgia - π΄ Trump 67-33%
Nevada - π΄ Trump 59-41%
ββ
@Polymarket odds
π₯ Trump: 53%
π¦ Harris: 45%
Polymarket swing states odds π
http://polymarket.com/elections
The essential American soul is hard, isolate, stoic, and a killer. It has never yet melted. ~ D.H. Lawrence