>>>
5. Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. TRUE
6. Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. TRUE
>>>
The math is simple: If 6 or more of Lichtman’s keys are “false” for the the party that holds the White House, they will lose. If less than 6 keys are “false,” the incumbent party wins.
Decomposed > (By my reckoning, the tally was SEVEN false responses in May. See my responses in the green box, below. The prediction in May should therefore have been for Biden to lose.)
Zim : Personally, I feel 5 and 6 should be FALSE. 'We' can't go by ANY 'economic numbers' the biden/harris administration puts out . . . and I believe most people in America today believe the economy sucks.
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