Former President Donald Trump surged ahead by five points in Arizona, maintained a four point lead in Georgia, and held steady in North Carolina, according to New York Times/Siena College presidential election polling on Monday.
Seven states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina — will decide the presidential election, political experts believe. If Trump wins one or more of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, Kamala Harris’s path to obtain 270 electoral votes becomes almost impossible.
Trump’s surged ten points in the Copper State since August to take a five point lead (50-45 percent) over Vice President Kamala Harris, who is struggling with Latino voters, the Times reported:
Trump is up two points in the Tar Heel state (49-47 percent), a four point swing and the same amount as he trailed in August. The race remains within the margin of error (4.2 percentage points), the Times found:
Trump maintained a four point lead in the Peach State (45-49 percent), the same margin Trump held in August. Trump’s four point lead remains in the margin of error (4.6 percent).
Biden won Georgia in 2020 by about 11,000 votes.
About 15 percent of the electorate in the three swing states are undecided voters, the Times reported:
The polls sampled 713 registered voters in Arizona, 682 registered voters in Georgia, and 682 registered voters in North Carolina from September 17 – 21. The margin of error in each state is between four and five percentage points: Plus or minus 4.4 percentage points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia, and plus or minus 4.2 percentage points in North Carolina.
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