We did this last year..
Here we go again:
"CPC pegs chance of El Nino at 70 percent for Northern Hemisphere summe"
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. weather forecaster on Thursday raised its forecast for the chance of El Nino conditions during the Northern Hemisphere summer to 70 percent, up from a 60 percent chance last month, with a 60 percent chance it lasts through autumn.
http://news.yahoo.com/cpc-pegs-chance-el-nino-70-percent-northern-131258700.html